My mother had this dark Irish superstition that you shouldn’t really count on something, like winning a prize at the Halloween parade, because you’d be disappointed if you lost. She also always had something to worry about, which is maybe the opposite – if you worry about it enough, you can keep it from happening.
Since today is the day Lincoln was shot and the Titanic sank, I thought I’d ward off some worries myself and check on Intrade. It’s always good to worry about things that are totally beyond your control – keeps you on your toes.
Immigration reform: probably won’t happen (but if you think it will, you can get it cheap). Elena Kagan sworn in as a Supreme: a better chance, but not great. The Dow will go up, the Conservatives will win in England, but Harry Reid’s going to lose (though here’s a nice ray of hope – his chances are better than Sarah Palin’s in 2012).
And I really do have to find out who Chrystal Bowersox is, because her chances of winning American Idol are now up to about 50/50.